How we predict the FIFA World Cup 2026 with a Dixon-Coles bivariate Poisson model

We’re building Onside Arena — an open AI football analytics platform for the FIFA World Cup 2026 and FPL. Live model record: 75% of MD1 winners called correctly. Here’s the technical core. TL;DR Dixon-Coles bivariate Poisson on team goal expectations Bayesian-shrunk ratings learned from 12 past Worl…

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