Paper AI Tigers (opens in new tab)  🆕New AI

The best Chinese LLMs offer

  1. frontier performance on some benchmarks;
  2. massive per-token discounts (~3x on input, ~6x on output);
  3. the weights. On-prem with fully free ~MIT licence, self-hosting, white-box access, customisation, with zero markup (and in fact zero revenue going to the Chinese companies);
  4. with a bit of work you can get much faster token speeds than the closed APIs;
  5. less overrefusal (except on CCP talking points);
  6. on topics controversial in the West, less nannying.
  7. they just added the search agents that make daily use actually worthwhile;
  8. They’re the most-downloaded open models.

As a result, going off private information, open-model fan Nathan Lambert says “Chinese open models have become a de facto standard among startups in the US”. Among the few Westerners to stick their necks out and admit it is Airbnb (Qwen). Windsurf’s planner is probably GLM; Cursor’s planner may be DeepSeek.

And yet

  1. outside China, they are mostly not used, even by the cognoscenti. All Chinese models combined are currently at 19% on the highly selected group of people who use OpenRouter. Over 2025 they trended downwards there. And in the browser and mobile they’re probably <<10% of global use;
  2. they are severely compute-constrained (and as of November 2025 their algorithmic advantage is unclear), so this implies they actually can’t have matched American models;
  3. they’re aggressively quantizing at inference-time, 32 bits to 4;
  4. state-sponsored Chinese hackers used closed American models for incredibly sensitive operations, giving the Americans a full whitebox log of the attack!

What gives?

“Tigers”?

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