The Inevitability of Reunification: China’s View of Strategic Drivers for A Potential Taiwan Conflict (opens in new tab)

During the May 2026 summit between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, Trump characterized American arms sales to Taiwan as a “good negotiating chip.”1 This statement has heightened uncertainty surrounding U.S. support for Taiwan, particularly as China’s People’s Liberation Army has increased its threatening behavior across the Taiwan Strait over the past 12 months. As the Natto Team discussed in the piece Wargaming a China-Taiwan Conflict and Its Cyber Scenarios, co-authored wi...