Rationality

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Making Recursive Bayesian Inference Robust

馃搳Prediction MarketsContent type: Academic
arxiv.org

Robert Nozick鈥檚 Political Philosophy

馃實Effective AltruismContent type: Academic
plato.stanford.edu

LessOnline 2026: A Trip Report

馃實Effective AltruismContent type: NewsContent type: Blog

Stein鈥檚 method, learning and inference -or- how to really monitor convergence and thin chains

馃搳Prediction MarketsContent type: Academic

Testing a Security Tool Like It Can Hurt People

馃捇CursorContent type: Blog
emphere.comr/devops

The Third Bit: The Inspector's Paradox

馃搳Prediction Markets
third-bit.com

Broadcom 2026 Survey: Cost Overtakes Security as Top Public Cloud Concern

馃搳Prediction Markets
storagereview.com

Failure prognostics under sensor degradation: A comparative study of online and batch Bayesian inference

馃搳Prediction MarketsContent type: Academic
sciencedirect.com

Total Engineering

馃敩AnthropicContent type: Blog

The Disutility of FDT: on Utility Functions and Voting, Insights from Behavioral Economics and Decision Theory

馃實Effective Altruism
lesswrong.com

TikTok Shop's gambling policy bans raffles and lucky spins - sellers beware

馃挸Fintech
ppc.land

See, Act, Correct: three levers for working with a code agent

馃Claude codeContent type: Blog

Methods for adjusting for covariate measurement error in flexible modelling of functional form: results of a blinded, controlled neutral comparison simulation study

馃實Effective AltruismContent type: Academic
arxiv.org

We Built a Game Where Lying Has an Advantage. The Most Honest AI Won Anyway.

馃實Effective Altruism
kradle.aiHacker News

cliffano/tech-team-agents: Famous Tech Teams as AI Agent Personas - Actually useful - Definitely opinionated

馃Claude codeContent type: Code
github.comHacker News

Simpson鈥檚 Paradox

馃搳Prediction MarketsContent type: Academic

Coming Around To Political Donations

馃實Effective Altruism
jefftk.com

What if self-promotion didn't matter anymore? A proposal for an experiment on Scott Alexander's book review contest.

馃實Effective AltruismContent type: NewsContent type: Blog

Ergodic Theory in Classical and Bayesian Inference

馃搳Prediction MarketsContent type: Academic
arxiv.org

A Normal Kidney Test Could Still Signal Serious Risk

馃實Effective Altruism
scitechdaily.com

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