🧠 Rationality - marcusspike

··DEV

How Wise is the Crowd in Prediction Markets

📊Prediction Markets

quantpedia.com·

What a Regex Can't Do: A Bayesian Governor for OpenClaw's Tool Calls

💻Cursor Blog

gfrm.in··Hacker News

Britain needs James Bond

🌍Effective Altruism News

newstatesman.com

Step-specific activation energies in hydrogen direct reduction of iron ore are identifiable from conversion data via Bayesian inference

💻Cursor Academic

sciencedirect.com·

Why am I just now discovering Webclipper Templates?

💻Cursor

obsidian.md··r/ObsidianMD

Where do the major World Cup forecasts disagree? I compared my model against Goldman Sachs, Opta, Polymarket and Others to find out where they all diverge

📊Prediction Markets News Blog

oliverssports.substack.com··r/soccer

I Tested Claude Fable 5 Against Private Benchmarks It Has Never Seen, Here Is Where It Failed

🤖Claude code

alikhallad.com··Hacker News

A multiscale, Bayesian inference approach to augment mechanistic models of cell signaling with machine-learning predictions of binding affinity

📊Prediction Markets

journals.plos.org·

Claude Fable 5 “Feels Next Level” via @sejournal, @martinibuster

🔬Anthropic

searchenginejournal.com··Hacker News

The Capitalist's Conscience

🔬Anthropic News Blog

saanyaojha.substack.com··Substack

I Am Open Sourcing Hissab Calculator App, Skills, CLI and NPM

💻Cursor Code

github.com··Hacker News

The weekly plan almost nobody offers (9 minute read)

📊Prediction Markets

the-diff.com·

Week Links [1st June 2026]

📊Prediction Markets

jackharrington.xyz·

Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5

🔬Anthropic

anthropic.com··Lobsters, Hacker News, r/ChatGPT, r/GithubCopilot, r/OpenAI, r/artificial, r/singularity

Kalshi Promo Code SDS: $10 NBA Finals Prediction Bonus for Knicks-Spurs Game 2

📊Prediction Markets

saturdaydownsouth.com·

Towards a Formal Scientific Epistemology

Against shallow anti-rational humanism

Bayesian efficient coding as a theory of perception: progress, controversies, and prospects

Making Recursive Bayesian Inference Robust

I Built a Polymarket Trading Bot That Tries to Capture the Last 60 Seconds of Market Inefficiency

How Wise is the Crowd in Prediction Markets

What a Regex Can't Do: A Bayesian Governor for OpenClaw's Tool Calls

Britain needs James Bond

Step-specific activation energies in hydrogen direct reduction of iron ore are identifiable from conversion data via Bayesian inference

Why am I just now discovering Webclipper Templates?

Where do the major World Cup forecasts disagree? I compared my model against Goldman Sachs, Opta, Polymarket and Others to find out where they all diverge

I Tested Claude Fable 5 Against Private Benchmarks It Has Never Seen, Here Is Where It Failed

A multiscale, Bayesian inference approach to augment mechanistic models of cell signaling with machine-learning predictions of binding affinity

Claude Fable 5 “Feels Next Level” via @sejournal, @martinibuster

The Capitalist's Conscience

I Am Open Sourcing Hissab Calculator App, Skills, CLI and NPM

The weekly plan almost nobody offers (9 minute read)

Week Links [1st June 2026]

Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5

Kalshi Promo Code SDS: $10 NBA Finals Prediction Bonus for Knicks-Spurs Game 2