Grounded Scaling: Why Agentic AI Needs Deterministic Environments

Long-chain agent execution fails exponentially in environments designed for human tolerance: with per-step determinism \delta < 1, $k$-step chain success degrades as \delta^k. The AGI-to-ASI scaling debate (Genewein et al., 2026) has so far framed progress as a race between compute growth and a …