I asked GPT 5.2 Pro what it thought of the welfare consequences of UK immigration, and here are its summary remarks: The literature does not support the claim that low-skilled immigration has imposed large net welfare losses on the UK as a whole. Instead, it supports something like: Net welfare for existing residents is likely modestly positive (or near zero but not strongly negative) on average , but the distributional impacts can be meaningfully negative for some low-skilled native workers and for some localities , and the sign/magnitude hinge heavily on productivity spillovers and on dynamic trajectories (skill acquisition, occupational mobility, family formation). The entire response is useful and well thought out. The post Low-skilled immigration into the UK appeared first on Marginal…
I asked GPT 5.2 Pro what it thought of the welfare consequences of UK immigration, and here are its summary remarks: The literature does not support the claim that low-skilled immigration has imposed large net welfare losses on the UK as a whole. Instead, it supports something like: Net welfare for existing residents is likely modestly positive (or near zero but not strongly negative) on average , but the distributional impacts can be meaningfully negative for some low-skilled native workers and for some localities , and the sign/magnitude hinge heavily on productivity spillovers and on dynamic trajectories (skill acquisition, occupational mobility, family formation). The entire response is useful and well thought out. The post Low-skilled immigration into the UK appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION . Comments …2026 will be the year UK net migration reaches zero or … by Mark it… Productivity spillovers? The last refuge of a scoundrel. by Dismalist Related Stories Soumaya Keynes on the bleak labor market for economists AI, labor markets, and wages Profile of George Borjas and his influence