Statistical Modeling (Andrew Gelman) statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

“We conclude that apparent effects of growth mindset interventions on academic achievement are likely attributable to inadequate study design, reporting flaws, ...

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·21w

StanCon 2026 registration and abstract submission are now open

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·21w

Is there a through line from B.S. numbers in junk science to B.S. numbers coming from the government?

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·22w

Survey Statistics: divine probabilities

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·22w

“it has been argued that current chatbots may pose a risk of amplifying delusional thinking in vulnerable users, due to their tendency to sycophantic and overly...

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·22w

More on school reform, this time New Orleans

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·22w

My new class this spring: POLS 4280, Rationalizing the World: The Hopes and Disappointments of American Social Science from 1900 to the Present

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·22w

The life of the artist “is a constant–and constantly losing–battle to keep at bay, on one side, the permanent shortfall of physical and mental abilities in the ...

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·22w

The life of the artist “is a constant–and constantly losing–battle to keep at bay, on one side, the permanent shortfall of physical and mental abilities in the ...

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·22w

This guy hates sociology.

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·22w

An idea for getting approximately calibrated 50% subjective probability ranges

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·22w

The Sapolsky Sanction

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·22w

When the numbers don’t look right, check them! (Mississippi education update)

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·22w

From Bayesian inference to LLMs (Steve Bronder’s 2025 CppCon talk)

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·22w

Gerd Gigerenzer on the legacy of Daniel Kahneman

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·23w

Survey Statistics: probability samples vs epsem samples vs SRS samples

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·23w

Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein in a remake of The Big Clock

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·23w

Effective sample size depends on the quantity

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·23w

How much of “Mississippi’s education miracle” is an artifact of selection bias?

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·23w·Hacker News

Sermet Pekin’s open-source project that discovers blogs through recursive network exploration

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu·23w

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