Survey Statistics: more on recalled vote

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Some Open Problems in Probability that are Relevant to Applied Statistics (my talk this Wed noon at the Columbia statistics department student seminar)

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A consensus–but it’s a consensus of uncertainty.

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Everything I ever needed to know in life I learned from the men in the Epstein files

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Review of string theory book from 2004 brings up interesting questions regarding age-period-cohort effects in the sociology of science

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Hey, here’s $100,000 down the drain!

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The anti-Bayesian is standing at the back window with a shotgun, scanning for priors coming over the hill, while a million assumptions just walk right into his house through the front door. (also, an interesting point by Yann LeCun about human language)

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Sunstein on Kissinger: No opinion on the whole war criminal thing, but the generosity that he showed when talking about Star Wars [the movie, not the weapons program] was “incomparable”

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Softly, effectively, in the age of genAI

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“Statistics is widely understood to provide a body of techniques for ‘modeling data.’”

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Survey Statistics: 5 flavors of calibration

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“Parallelizing MCMC Across the Sequence Length”: This one is really cool.

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Postdoc in Milan on scalability for high-dimensional Bayesian learning

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A counterintuitive example where a strong prior pulls an estimate in the wrong direction–and how to see the problem

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For God’s sake, don’t donate to the “International Peace Institute”! (unless you want to pay for corrupt assholes to fly first class around the world to give s...

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From the Mixed-Up Files of Jeffrey E. Epstein

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The pantheon of celebrity billionaires

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A Stan transpiler in Julia!

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We’re looking for nominations for the American Statistical Association’s Excellence in Statistical Reporting Award.

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Not quite adversarial collaboration | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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