Statistical Modeling (Andrew Gelman) · Scour

Charles Margossian and Lawrence Saul win AISTATS ’25 Best Paper

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I. J. Good corner: The flying Venus flytrap and other partly-baked ideas

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Books by Charles Rosen and Jeremy Denk on piano playing and the nature of music

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(again) Yeah, yeah, I understand why you’re all talking about accusations of fraud. But for the rest of us, it’s about the non-replication and the bad science,...

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Measurement error model Stan fitting struggle: The funnel again rears its ugly head

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Anticipated good news if the economy goes downhill

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Here’s what’s happening with time-shifting of births.

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What is judgment and decision making (JDM)?

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“They had it all but they wanted more”: Left-wing radicals in the 1960s and right-wingers now

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Of plagues and chickens: How can someone be so skeptical in one place and so credulous somewhere else?

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Generalizing for Sampling and Causal Inference (my talk 3pm today at the University of Maryland)

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I don’t buy that claim that “eating whole foods and avoiding toxins” is a “horseshoe” alliance of the far left and far right

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“Either a 2% or a 75% chance of rain”

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The well-meaning but useless or counterproductive social science establishment

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Let’s take apart this claim by Christopher Lasch from 1977 that hasn’t aged well: “Such changes have made both racist ideology and the ideology of martial conq...

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“The difference between ‘significant’ and ‘not significant’ is not itself statistically significant” . . . in the wild!

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Friday 10am: Online conversation on “Experiments, Causal Inference, and Limits of Evidence” with Nancy Cartwright and Berna Devezer

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The Error-Reversal Heuristic: How would you have reacted had the mistake gone in the opposite direction?

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New course this fall at Columbia: Laboratory in Justice Data Science

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What day of the year will have the fewest noninduced births? (Difference between mathematical and statistical reasoning)

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