Test Schedule

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If only Arxiv required researchers to sign at the top rather than the bottom of the page, none of this would’ve happened.

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Graduation Days: A tale of two campuses

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Why were schools so slow to return to in-person instruction?

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An alternative Monty Hall problem. As with the usual Monty Hall problem, just set it up as a probability tree and it all works out

statmodeling.stat.columbia.eduHN
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Struggles with surveying nonvoters and young voters

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Too many polls: “As news consumers, we’re like gluttons stuffing our faces with 5 potato chips at a time, just grabbing them out of the bag.”

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Using Stan to do sequential Bayesian updating

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The Lives They’re Living and this new biography of Elaine May

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Chaining Bayesian inference with priors constructed from posterior draws

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The fractal nature of scientific revolutions

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Bad advice all over the internet

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Plotting truth vs. predicted value

statmodeling.stat.columbia.eduHN
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A study is conducted on two groups. When does it make sense to report two separate estimates, and when does it make sense to just report the pooled estimate?

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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Back before he was a vaccine denier, law professor Richard Epstein was a cliche-spinning dispenser of misinformation

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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Don’t Hold Out On Me: Some thoughts on out-of-sample prediction

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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Misattribution (when someone claims you said something that you’ve never said)–it’s kind of like plagiarism in reverse.

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Evaluation blind spots and eliciting moving targets

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“On Sociological Exploitation: Why the Guinea Pig Sometimes Bites”

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Charles Margossian and Lawrence Saul win AISTATS ’25 Best Paper

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