Rare events of small-noise Doob conditioned processes (opens in new tab)

Doob fixed-time conditioning enables the sampling of rare trajectories of Markov processes by modifying the drift so that reaching a prescribed target at a given time is guaranteed. We study the statistics of this conditioned path ensemble through the moment generating function in the weak-noise large deviation regime. Since the Doob drift is rarely available in closed form, we reinterpret the conditioned ensemble as the original process post-se...