I Let 12 AI Models Predict the World Cup. The First 169 Picks Already Show a Pattern. (opens in new tab)

I put 12 AI models into a public World Cup prediction arena. Not because I think anyone should use LLMs for betting. They should not. The page says entertainment only for a reason. I did it because sports prediction is a surprisingly clean stress test for models: structured facts stale priors uncertainty calibration price-performance and the most painful thing for LLMs: admitting a favorite might draw After 169 predictions and 21 settled scoring entries, the leaderboard is technically tied. B...