Epoch AI: Gradient Updates

How well did forecasters predict 2025 AI progress? (opens in new tab)

Covered by multipliercg.substack.comDiscussed on Substack

Mostly right about benchmarks, mixed results on real-world impacts

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Covered in 1 article

multipliercg.substack.com·

A personal letter on transformative AI

Discussed on Substack
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