lweiss01/pmwatch: Open-source anomaly detector for politically-sensitive Kalshi prediction markets. Flags unusual trading patterns that may precede public announcements. Public API only, no auth required. (opens in new tab)

This morning I woke up to news that George Santos is under federal investigation for insider trading on Kalshi. By end of day I had a working anomaly detector monitoring 410 politically-sensitive prediction markets with a live dashboard. Here's how it happened, what I found, and how you can run it yourself. What Santos Actually Did The short version is almost embarrassingly simple. The day before Trump's State of the Union address, Santos posted a video on X saying he'd be in the gallery. Tra...