What AI can and cannot do (opens in new tab)

Similar to Freddie Deboer, I identify as an ‘AI realist’ or an ‘AI incrementalist’. I don’t identify as a skeptic though, as that has become a loaded word to mean disbelief (e.g. bigfoot). AI is real; however, I’m doubtful of far-reaching narratives that AI will precipitate humanity’s extinction or the collapse of society (I criticized Eliezer Yudkowsky here and here about this). Or conversely, that AI will lead to ‘the singularity’, ‘AGI’ (however that is defined, which good luck getting a c...