UN weather agency says El Niño likely by August (opens in new tab)

The World Meteorological Organization said El Niño conditions are developing in the tropical Pacific, with an 80% chance they will emerge during June-August 2026 and probabilities near or above 90% that they will persist until at least November. The UN weather agency said most forecast models point to at least a moderate event, possibly a strong one, though uncertainty remains over peak strength and timing. The WMO linked the forecast shift to unusually warm Pacific waters, including subsurfa...