NOAA raises El Niño development odds to 82% (opens in new tab)

The U.S. Climate Prediction Center said El Niño is likely to develop soon, putting the probability at 82% for May-July 2026 and 96% for persistence through December 2026-February 2027. NOAA’s latest ENSO discussion said the Pacific remains ENSO-neutral as sea-surface temperatures rise after a weak La Niña last winter. Forecasters said confidence has increased that El Niño will occur, but its peak strength remains uncertain. El Financiero reported that NOAA guidance showed no individual peak-s...