The New Republic

Trump’s Military Moves Spark Tsunami of Insider Trading (opens in new tab)

Prediction market analysts uncovered what looks like blatant insider trading within the U.S. military after a group of nine connected Polymarket accounts won more than $2.4 million by placing bets on Donald Trump’s war in Iran. Nicolas Vaiman, the CEO of data analytics firm Bubblemaps, told CBS’s 60 Minutes Sunday that across more than 80 bets, a series of nine anonymous accounts had a 98 percent win rate placing bets on pivotal moments of the joint U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran...

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