Signals, Noise, and Late-Night Pizza: OSINT Readings on a Possible U.S. Strike on Iran (opens in new tab)

Open-source intelligence has a strange rhythm when the temperature rises. Ordinary things start to feel loaded with meaning, and suddenly a spike in pizza orders, a clipped quote from a parliament speaker, or a vague phrase like “options are being considered” gets passed around as if it were a countdown clock. That’s roughly where we are now. The unrest inside Iran has escalated into nationwide protests and a violent crackdown, and Tehran’s leadership has responded with unusually explicit war...