Strategic Restraint: Why Iran and Hezbollah are Unlikely to Escalate Against Israel (opens in new tab)

The assessment that neither Hezbollah nor Iran is likely to launch a significant and immediate strike against Israel is grounded in the balance of power and the strategic limitations of both entities. Iran’s leadership, often characterized by aggressive rhetoric, finds its actual military capabilities falling short of its threats, particularly against a technologically advanced adversary like Israel. The Iranian missile program, while expansive, has repeatedly demonstrated its ineffectiveness...