The Shape of Code » Estimating Open source project lifecycle using the Bass model (opens in new tab)

Is it possible to reliably estimate the elapsed time that a multi-person Open source project spends under major active development, once it has been running for a year or so, and attracted some developers? The paper Project Life Cycles in Open-Source Software by Das, Ieroshenko, Jain, Qiu, Chin, and Granger fits a Bass diffusion model […]