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I built a maths model to simulate the World Cup a million times. Find out your team’s chances (opens in new tab)

Covers The $13bn World Cup: how the numbers stack up on Fifa’s 2026 balance sheetCovered by The Independent, independent.co.uk

An expanded tournament means traditionally strong nations may not all progress as far as usual at the World Cup.

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Covered in 4 articles

The Independent·

I ran 1 million World Cup simulations. Here are your team’s chances of winning

The Independent·

World Cup 2026: I simulated the tournament 1 million times — see your team’s chances

independent.co.uk·

I ran 1 million World Cup simulations. Here are your team’s chances of winning