Vulnerability Forecast Update: Navigating the AI Epoch (opens in new tab)

The cumulative drift is currently +46.3% above the original forecast (an excess of 6,420 CVEs), leading to a revised 2026 projection of ~68K CVEs.There were many questions earlier this year when we produced prediction intervals as wide as 100k. Still, an important feature of a forecast is that it encompasses unlikely but realistically possible outcomes. AI-assisted discovery has increased the chances that we see what many people would consider an extreme number of vulnerabilities this year, a...