We made a map of the doom debate. Here's how the breakdown works. (opens in new tab)

This is the second post in a series of posts titled "We made a map of the Doom Debate" that was created as part of the AI Safety Camp 2026 "Assumptions of the Doom Debate" project, led by Sean Herrington. The previous post introduced our tree model for mapping existential risk probability. This post will go into detail on each node of the tree. The tree can be found here, and the previous post can be found here.TL;DR:The tree consists of independent nodes, with each node being mutually exclus...