Why I think a global AI pause (almost) certainly won't happen (opens in new tab)
Nuclear arms treaties happened AFTER nukes had been demonstrated. AI pause would need to happen BEFORE ASI comes into existence.If I had to explain the issue in just 2 sentences, those are the sentences I would say. Now let's elaborate:1) Explaining the danger of nukes is really easy. "A giant explosion will evaporate an entire city". That's it, congratulations, you have successfully explained the danger of nukes. Now try to explain the danger of superintelligent AI in a way that will be conv...
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