I didn't see any METR graph extrapolations so here. (opens in new tab)

If you don't know what the METR time horizon benchmarks are then here: To find the best trend line to extrapolate I plotted log linear and log quadratic against one another.Log quadratic is a lot better fit than log linear.But what about a piecewise segmented log linear model, ie 2 log linear models used on different parts of the data. The best breakpoint was found automatically with my graphing software R Studio for each dataset resulting in a breakpoint of March (50%) and April (80%) 2024.B...