Mapping the Knockout Stage: Where Will Your Team Play in the World Cup? (opens in new tab)

The World Cup is almost here. Of the 48 teams, 32 will advance from the opening group stage to the knockout stage — a single-elimination bracket of matches to be played in 15 stadiums across North America. But where, exactly, could your team play after surviving the group? To estimate each team’s chances of getting out of its group, our journalists used data from sportsbooks and prediction markets to measure team strength. Then they simulated the tournament hundreds of thousands of times and ...