Rivian stock trades at a discount to the competition.
Next year could reinvigorate growth, adding focus to Rivian’s AI efforts.
These 10 stocks could mint the next wave of millionaires ›
Right now, Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) stock is hovering just above $13 per share. But if Rivian stock were valued like Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock, it would trade at $70.49.
Of course, Rivian is a long way away from becoming the next Tesla. But there are two co…
Rivian stock trades at a discount to the competition.
Next year could reinvigorate growth, adding focus to Rivian’s AI efforts.
These 10 stocks could mint the next wave of millionaires ›
Right now, Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) stock is hovering just above $13 per share. But if Rivian stock were valued like Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock, it would trade at $70.49.
Of course, Rivian is a long way away from becoming the next Tesla. But there are two compelling reasons to believe shares should trade much higher than they do today.
Looking at the relative valuations of EV stocks, including Rivian, Tesla, and Lucid Group (NASDAQ: LCID), two trends become obvious. First, Tesla trades at a huge premium to the rest of the industry. Second, Rivian trades at a consistent discount to the rest of the industry. Understanding why this is can give investors a meaningful edge in their next stock pick.
The chart below covers forward price to sales ratios. That means that based on analyst predictions, the next 12 months of growth are already accounted for in these figures.
RIVN PS Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts
If Rivian shares traded at Tesla’s price-to-sales ratio, the stock would be above $70 apiece. Instead, they’re stuck below $15. Why? For two reasons.
First, Tesla has a massive capital advantage. Its $1.4 trillion market cap allows it to sell stock easily, raising large amounts of cash with minimal share dilution. For example, it could raise $16 billion – roughly Rivian’s entire market cap today – by diluting shareholders by just 1%. In a capital-intensive industry where scale is king, Tesla’s dominance in this category is unparalleled.
But it’s not just scale that Tesla has over Rivian. It’s also its newly adopted position as an AI stock. Many Wall Street analysts are calling Tesla the next big name in artificial intelligence, thanks to its early investments and ability to apply its technology to its vehicles. The robotaxi market could be worth trillions of dollars, and owning both the manufacturing and software ends of its robotaxi division gives Tesla an enviable edge on the competition.
These two advantages – scale and a new reputation for AI – are what account for most of Tesla’s valuation premium. But as we’ll see next, Rivian could soon make waves in both of these categories.
Image source: Getty Images.
In terms of scale, Rivian will soon give Tesla significantly more competition. That’s because early next year, three new models are expected to start production: the R2, R3, and R3X. Importantly, all three are expected to be priced under $50,000. A big majority of American consumers are hoping to spend less than $50,000 on their next vehicle purchase. And when it comes to EVs priced under this threshold, there’s little competition for Tesla’s Model 3 and Model Y. Tesla controls nearly half of the U.S. market for EVs, with the vast majority of its sales coming from two affordable models: the Model Y and Model 3.
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