Before Trump’s return to office was secured, I was chatting online with a friend about Putin’s strategy in Ukraine. “Putin is playing the long game,” my friend observed, “he realizes he cannot win quickly, but he’s patiently waiting for a miracle.”

“What miracle could possibly save him?” I asked.

My friend’s answer seemed absurd then: “Well, Trump could be elected.” We both brushed it off as the craziest idea possible—a distant, unlikely scenario.

That dismissal has now turned to a chill of recognition. The “miracle” has materialized.

My friend also pointed out something crucial about Russian warfare that the West consistently underestimates: “Russia knows how to wage slow, grinding wars. They depend on sacrificing humans, which post-Soviet Russia has plenty of.” While Western…

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