Quantus Insights quantus.substack.com

Quantus Insights: Election forecasting, economic and political analysis, commentary, and data-driven insights.

Part II: The Three Young Men America Is Producing
quantus.substack.com·1w·
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Trump at One Year: Job Approval and Key Issues
quantus.substack.com·3w·
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The Shape of Losses: Midterms, Structural Floors, and the Limits of Waves
quantus.substack.com·4w·
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January: Presidential Exposure Model (PEM v2)
quantus.substack.com·4w·
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A Conditional Midterm: Economics, Expectations, and the Shape of 2026
quantus.substack.com·7w·
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The Presidential Exposure Model (PEM): Measuring Midterm Risk Through Approval, Swing, and Strategic Vulnerability
quantus.substack.com·13w·
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2025 Post-Election Summary: Virginia and New Jersey
substackcdn.com·13w·
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The Nation’s Pulse: Trump Approval Poll, October 2025
quantus.substack.com·18w·
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The New Jersey Rehearsal: The Narrowing of Advantage
quantus.substack.com·20w·
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Trump Holds the Line as Republican Confidence Ticks Up
quantus.substack.com·20w·
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Georgia’s 2026 Senate Race Is Wide Open
quantus.substack.com·21w·
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New Jersey 2025 Governor’s Race: Sherrill Leads Ciattarelli By 10
quantus.substack.com·23w·
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Trump’s Standing in Late Summer 2025: The Lines Harden
quantus.substack.com·24w·
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Middle America Shrugs: Inflation Fatigue and Electoral Flux
quantus.substack.com·26w·
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Tennessee 2026: Blackburn In Command of GOP’s Fortress State
quantus.substack.com·27w·
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Q2 GDP Estimate Rises, but the Story Beneath the Surface Still Matters
substackcdn.com·28w·
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Quantus Insights National Poll: A Presidency in Stalemate
quantus.substack.com·29w·
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Pew Joins the Correction: Why Weighting by Past Vote Can’t Be Optional
quantus.substack.com·29w·
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Quantus Insights Survey What July's Numbers Say About the American Mind
quantus.substack.com·30w·
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The Epstein Reversal: Trump’s Base, Betrayal, and the Midterm Storm Ahead
quantus.substack.com·30w·
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